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North Korean Nuclear test likely soon
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Spehro Pefhany
medicine forum beginner


Joined: 16 May 2005
Posts: 4

PostPosted: Mon May 16, 2005 12:25 am    Post subject: North Korean Nuclear test likely soon Reply with quote

On Sat, 7 May 2005 15:44:23 +0200, the renowned "Frithiof Andreas
Jensen"
wrote:

Quote:

"Arthur"
skrev i en meddelelse
news:j8go711gtn727i6r8fcei4f8aofdvbkvc3@4ax.com...
Do not know what they intend doing with it since they would annihilate
themselves if they ever used one agressively.

What else *can* they do:

North Korea is failing so badly that they will not be able to get enough
able bodies to recruit the next generation of soldiers for their wast army.
Their stupid little state can die wimpering for lack of people to exploit or
go out with a bang while they still have 3 million soldiers and are capable
of making a lasting impression on the region.

They seem to be following the Chinese model of open "special economic
zones" to open their economy to the outside world. Also encouraging
tourism and economic ties with the South (via the "Sunshine policy")-
which is increasing popular in the South (and the Americans are
becoming increasingly unpopular in the South, for various reasons-
China is now more popular than the US). But in the meantime, they are
very short of energy and have had food problems, but they seem to have
turned the corner since the collapse of the Soviet Union:

http://www.keia.com/2-Publications/2-4-Adhoc/AdHoc2003/4YSKim.pdf


Anyway, in the context of this newsgroup, I'm more interested in how
to make a buck off of the event of this country suddenly going
nuclear. I don't see much in the way of options for them at this
point. They've already invested the money in making weapons and are
still being treated like a non-nuclear state. They want to follow
Islamabad's example and get some respect. The optimum point of
pressure was a decade ago, and presumably the "agreed framework" was
the best deal possible under the circumstances- which took us to the
brink of nuclear war. That agreement broke down in 2000 but they're
doing a lot better these days.

Japan now has enough Pu and reprocessing plant to make thousands of
nuke weapons, and obviously has ICBM technology (they have satellite
launch technology, which is basically the same thing). Will this set
off an arms race- China developing their modest nuke deterrent into a
world-class armory and Japan going more visibly nuclear-capable? Which
companies' stocks will benefit in the medium term?
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